Week 10 Picks by NFL Picks Are In (2024)

FAQs

How do NFL weekly picks work? ›

Pick each game against the listed spread and receive a point if your team covers. The minus sign (-) indicates the team that is favored, the plus sign (+) indicates the underdog. Pick the outright winner of each game and receive a point if you predict correctly!

NFL Week 10 Analytical Quarterback Rankings: Tua Tagovailoa, Josh Allen remain at the top, C.J. Stroud on the cusp of a top-10 spot. C.J. Stroud explodes: Stroud racked up 470 passing yards and five touchdowns in Week 9, completing 71.4% of his passes and averaging a league-best 11.2 yards per pass attempt.

Point spreads are chosen to be maximally difficult to beat, so even a success rate of 5% above a baseline would be considered a success. It has been said by certain professional sports bettors that one should not expect more than approximately 60% accuracy in betting, so this is the figure that we will strive towards.

Contracts continue to decline in value as the draft progresses, ending with the final pick in the seventh round, nicknamed “Mr. Irrelevant,” who is expected to land a rookie deal just above $4 million.

The annual NFL Draft gives the teams the opportunity to infuse their rosters with new talent. Some players will provide an instant boost to the team that selects them; others won't.

When behind, you must pick a different team than the leader in order to have a chance to win. If your leader is playing logically, they'll probably pick the favorite. So you should pick the underdog, or in a spread pool, pick the less popular team or team you think the leader is less likely to pick.

Over the past 10 seasons, NFL regular-season favorites have gone 1206-1303-62 against the spread. That's a 48% win clip.

This makes spreads of -2.5, -6.5 and -9.5 good numbers to have when betting favorites. Additionally, this tendency from the NFL also makes +3.5, +7.5 and +10.5 good spread numbers for betting on underdogs. Key numbers are also very important when betting teasers, which is a form of parlay betting that involves spreads.

Broncos vs.

Going into the game, the 2013 Broncos were averaging 46 points per game vs the Jag's 10.2, which helps to explain the 28 point spread, the biggest in football history. Things looked good out of the gates as Denver took a 14-0 lead in the first quarter.

The concept is simple: the oddsmakers will set a total for an upcoming NFL game, and bettors can place their wagers on whether or not the total will be either over or under the amount. The speculator can place a bet that the game's total score will be over or under the odds set by the oddsmakers.